State of Emergency

Forex Market Snapshot

Central banks, and in sold the Federal Reserve continue to figure tellurian financial markets, with the new pointy dovish change of Fed Chair Jerome Powell removing another acknowledgment today. The mins of the latest Fed assembly suggested that several members of the FOMC cabinet were in preference of withdrawal the benchmark seductiveness rate unchanged.

That’s in pointy contrariety with the central financial matter expelled together with last month’s rate hike, and it combined to this week’s bearish pressures on the US Dollar. The Euro, the Yen, the Swiss Franc, and bullion all gained poignant belligerent compared to the haven currency, while the gains of some of the smaller risk-on currencies were reduction pronounced, notwithstanding the extended convene in risk resources opposite the globe.

US bonds extended their bomb oversold rally, but the rest of the universe is distant from being exuberant, and it’s doubtful that the tellurian bearish change will be topsy-turvy by a Fed process shift, but the counter-trend pierce might still have ways to go. Tomorrow, several Fed members will pronounce nonetheless again, including Jerome Powell, and we might get some specifics per the new, stretchable plan of the Federal Reserve.

Technical Analysis

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The break-out in the EUR/USD was arguably the most critical pierce in forex markets today, as the most-traded span changed past the essential insurgency section nearby 1.15 interjection to the Fed’s dovish acknowledgment and the continued risk-on rally. The Euro strike the top turn since mid-October, and the span could shortly exam the Oct pitch high nearby 1.1625.

While even a convene up to the insurgency section nearby 1.18 is probable here, we still cruise any convene as a offered event from a broader perspective, with the long-term trend clearly being bearish. That said, short-term traders could play the break-out, with serve support found at 1.1440 and nearby 1.13.

USD/CNH, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Chinese Yuan has been enjoying a clever convene interjection to the renewed trade optimism, which also combined to the offered vigour on the Dollar with regards to the other pivotal pairs. Tomorrow’s proclamation will expected means serve sensitivity in the China-related assets, but after the improvement runs the course, we trust that the banking will resume the broader downtrend due to the low constructional issues in the Chinese economy.

The stream turn of the trade talks between the US and China resolved today in Beijing, but the two negotiating sides will only emanate a concurrent matter tomorrow. For now, all signs prove a successful meeting, with a expected roadmap until the Match 2 deadline of the “trade truce”, and that confidence helped risk resources via the day, while pulling the span to a new 5-month low.

Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The categorical Chinese benchmarks were particularly diseased in new days, notwithstanding the swell in the currency, the tellurian risk rally, the trade optimism, and the PBOC’s financial easing operations. This relations weakness, together with the pale convene in Europe is a disastrous pointer for risk assets, and even a stronger rebound in China would only validate as a counter-trend convene as the bearish tellurian leaders are in clever and fast disappearing trends.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Crude oil was one of the categorical beneficiaries of the oversold rally, with the smashed WTI agreement surging by $10 per tub off the Christmas panic low, commanding the $50 per tub cost turn interjection to 8 uninterrupted up days.

Given the border of the preceding sell-off, the pierce could strech the clever insurgency section around the $54 level, with a extended disappearing trendline also being in the area. Fundamentals sojourn disastrous for the essential commodity, even deliberation the OPEC’s supply cut, and we don’t design oil prices to trend aloft in the entrance months.

Key Economic Events Tomorrow



USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

GBP/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

USD/CHF, 4-Hour Chart Analysis


Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Major Stock Indices

SP 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis


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4.7 stars on average, formed on 436 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of knowledge in the field. An consultant in technical research and risk management, but also an zealous practitioner of value investment and pacifist strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.

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